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[Submitted on 9 Oct 2013 (v1), last revised 27 Jan 2014 (this version, v3)]

Title:A statistical physics perspective on criticality in financial markets

Authors:Thomas Bury
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Abstract: Stock markets are complex systems exhibiting collective phenomena and particular features such as synchronization, fluctuations distributed as power-laws, non-random structures and similarity to neural networks. Such specific properties suggest that markets operate at a very special point. Financial markets are believed to be critical by analogy to physical systems but few statistically founded evidence have been given. Through a data-based methodology and comparison to simulations inspired by statistical physics of complex systems, we show that the Dow Jones and indices sets are not rigorously critical. However, financial systems are closer to the criticality in the crash neighborhood.
Comments: 23 pages, 19 figures
Subjects: Statistical Finance (q-fin.ST); Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability (physics.data-an)
Cite as: arXiv:1310.2446 [q-fin.ST]
  (or arXiv:1310.2446v3 [q-fin.ST] for this version)
  https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.1310.2446
arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite
Related DOI: https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-5468/2013/11/P11004
DOI(s) linking to related resources

Submission history

From: Thomas Bury J [view email]
[v1] Wed, 9 Oct 2013 12:02:35 UTC (2,005 KB)
[v2] Wed, 30 Oct 2013 10:45:43 UTC (1,474 KB)
[v3] Mon, 27 Jan 2014 18:25:47 UTC (1,469 KB)
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