Letters to Nature

Nature 419, 151-154 (12 September 2002) | doi:10.1038/nature00983; Received 28 February 2002; Accepted 11 July 2002

Acceleration of rain initiation by cloud turbulence

G. Falkovich1, A. Fouxon1 & M. G. Stepanov1,2

  1. Physics of Complex Systems, Weizmann Institute of Science, Rehovot 76100, Israel
  2. Institute of Automation and Electrometry, Novosibirsk 630090, Russia

Correspondence to: G. Falkovich1 Correspondence and requests for materials should be addressed to G.F. (e-mail: Email: fnfal@wicc.weizmann.ac.il).

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Vapour condensation in cloud cores produces small droplets that are close to one another in size. Droplets are believed to grow to raindrop size by coalescence due to collision1, 2. Air turbulence is thought to be the main cause for collisions of similar-sized droplets exceeding radii of a few micrometres, and therefore rain prediction requires a quantitative description of droplet collision in turbulence1, 2, 3, 4, 5. Turbulent vortices act as small centrifuges that spin heavy droplets out, creating concentration inhomogeneities6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14 and jets of droplets, both of which increase the mean collision rate. Here we derive a formula for the collision rate of small heavy particles in a turbulent flow, using a recently developed formalism for tracing random trajectories15, 16. We describe an enhancement of inertial effects by turbulence intermittency and an interplay between turbulence and gravity that determines the collision rate. We present a new mechanism, the 'sling effect', for collisions due to jets of droplets that become detached from the air flow. We conclude that air turbulence can substantially accelerate the appearance of large droplets that trigger rain.

The local distribution of droplets over sizes, n(a,t,r) = n(a), changes with condensation and coalescence according to refs 1, 2 (see Table 1 for definitions of variables):

Unfortunately we are unable to provide accessible alternative text for this. If you require assistance to access this image, or to obtain a text description, please contact npg@nature.com

Here, v(t, r) is the droplet velocity at point r at time t, q is proportional to the supersaturation and the diffusivity of the vapour and a" = (a3 - a'3)1/3. The collection kernel is proportional to the collision kernel, which is the product of the target area and the relative velocity Deltav of droplets before the contact: K(a1,a2) sime pi(a1 + a2)2Deltav. For droplets larger than couple of micrometres across, brownian motion can be neglected and the collision kernel in still air is due to gravitational settling1, 2: Kg(a1,a2) = pi(a1 + a2)2E(a1,a2)|ug(a1) - ug(a2)|. When the Reynolds number of the flow around the droplet, Rea equivalent to uga/nu, is not too large and concentration is small enough (na3Rea-2less double1) the settling velocity is due to the balance of gravity and friction: ug = gtau with the Stokes time tau = (2/9)(rho0/rho)(a2/nu). Here rho0, rho are water and air densities respectively. Hydrodynamic interaction between approaching droplets is accounted for in Kg by the collision efficiency E, for which values can be found in refs 1, 17.


Cloud condensation nuclei are typically of micrometre or submicrometre size and the initial stage of droplet growth is solely due to condensation: n(a,t) = af(a2 - 2qt) with the function f determined by the initial distribution. An important conclusion is that while the distribution shifts to larger sizes, it keeps its small width over a2 (a few micrometres squared or less). It would take many hours for condensation to grow millimetre-size raindrops, especially with the account of vapour depletion. Such growth is supposed to come from coalescence but because Kgproportional to|a12 - a22| the gravitational collision rate is strongly suppressed for droplets that are close in size. With narrow local size distributions in cloud cores, rain would not start in still air for many hours. There is then the long-standing problem of the bottleneck in the transition from condensation to coalescence stage1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 8, 9, 10, 11, 18, 19, 20 which we discuss here.

In some cases, droplets with substantially different sizes may appear, owing to the existence of ultra-giant nuclei18, 19. Another possibility that we consider here is that turbulence-induced collisions8, 9, 10, 11, 20 may occur. Both velocity and concentration of droplets fluctuate in a random flow. To provide meteorology with an effective computational tool, theoretical physics is expected to produce the condensation–coagulation equation (1) averaged over space. Here we derive analytically the averaged equation—that is, we obtain the effective collision kernel ital Kmacr = left fenceK(a1,a2)n1n2right fence/left fencen1right fenceleft fencen2right fence]—and solve it numerically to demonstrate the changes in the average distribution n(a, t) brought about by turbulence.

For the basic discussion of cloud turbulence see the reviews in refs 3–5 and the references therein. Turbulence intensity can be characterized by the energy input rate alt epsilon which determines the root-mean-square (r.m.s.) velocity gradient: lambda sime (alt epsilon/nu)1/2. We consider small droplets with the Stokes number St = lambdatau (which characterizes mean droplet inertia) smaller than unity. If inertia is neglected, droplets follow the incompressible air flow and their concentration is uniform. Droplet motion in the air flow gradient s then provides Deltav sime s(a1 + a2) and gives the mean collision kernel20 left fenceKtright fence sime lambda(a1 + a2)3. Inertia deviates droplets from the air flow, adding a contribution to Deltav proportional to taus the mean value of which is St, that is, small20. Hence Saffman and Turner20 concluded that only extremely energetic turbulence with alt epsilon > 2,000 cm2 s-3 would produce a noticeable collision kernel. We note, however, that it is ital Kmacr rather than left fenceKright fence that determines the mean collision rate. Inertial deviation of droplets from the air flow leads to fluctuations in droplet concentration, characterized by the factor k12 = left fencen1n2right fence/left fencen1right fenceleft fencen2right fence > 1, which may be large. Concentration fluctuations have been observed in experiments and numerical simulations5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12 and described analytically for same-size droplets in low Reynolds flow without gravity13, 14: k(a,a) = left fencen2right fence/left fencenright fence2 sime (eta/a)St2, where eta approximately (nu3/alt epsilon)1/4 is the mean correlation scale of velocity gradients.

The Reynolds number of cloud turbulence is Re = uL/nu, where u is air velocity and L is the outer scale comparable to the cloud size. In the atmosphere, Re is large (106–108), that is, turbulence is intermittent and the statistics is very non-gaussian, with a substantial probability of gradients far exceeding lambda. The role of gravity can be characterized by the ratio of the small-scale turbulent velocity to the settling velocity12, 21 epsilon equivalent to (alt epsilonnu)1/4/ug; this parameter can be both larger and smaller than unity for a = 1–100 microm and lambda = 1–20 s-1.

Here we derive the factor k12 for droplets under gravity in high-Re flow. We show that contribution of large gradients can significantly increase k12 compared with the low-Re case and that gravity provides for a sharp maximum of k12 at a1 = a2. We also describe a new inertial mechanism of collisions due to rare events with large gradients (s sime tau-1double greater thanlambda) that produce jets of droplets initially accelerated by the air flow and then detached from it. That gives an additive contribution Ki into ital Kmacr. We call this the 'sling effect' and show that turbulence intermittency can make Ki substantial even at small St. No realistic direct numerical simulations are possible for droplets in high-Re turbulence, so analytical derivations are indispensable. We derive ital Kmacr(epsilon,St,Re) and show that the turbulence-induced collision rate can be substantial even for small droplets in moderate turbulence when St is small.

The field v(r, t) giving the velocity of a droplet located at r at time t satisfies the equation6, 22 parttv + (vnabla)v = (u - v)/tau + gz, where z is a unit vector pointing downwards. The gradients sigma = nablav and s = nablau taken at a droplet's trajectory are related as follows: sigmabullet + sigma2 = (s - sigma)/tau. When |sigma|less doubletau-1, it has a smooth evolution determined by sigma(t) = integralt dt' exp[(t' - t)/tau]s(t')/tau. If, however, |sigma| > tau-1 then the inertial term sigma2 dominates and may lead to an explosive evolution sigma(t)proportional to(t0 - t)-1 that produces shock in v(r) and singularities in n(r).

The probability P of an explosive event is that of large and persistent gradients s. The correlation time tauc(s) of the air flow gradient is given by the minimum between the turnover time |s|-1 and the time l(s)/ug needed for droplets to cross the region l(s) sime radic(nu/|s|) over which s is correlated. The gradient s that leads to |sigma| sime tau-1 must either exceed the threshold described by the extrapolation formula sb = [tau-2 + lambda2epsilon-4]1/2 or be larger than 1/tau and occupy the region in space l(sb)sb/s. Because the only available data are on the single-point probability density function (PDF) P (s) we estimate the probability of explosion from below: P equivalent to integral1/tauinfinityP(|sigma|) d|sigma| sime tausbintegralsbP(|s|) d|s|, where the prefactor tausb appears because s > sb can occur at any moment within the interval tau. Once a fluctuation with a negative eigenvalue sigmai < -tau-1 occurs, the inertial term sigma2 exceeds the driving term si/tau and the friction term - sigmai/tau, which corresponds to a free motion of droplets along the direction of sigmai on a timescale of order tau. A negative velocity gradient means that faster droplets catch up with slower ones, creating a cubic singularity23 in the relation between the current coordinate x(t) and the initial one y: x = y3/3l2 - yt/tau. Here l = l(sb) is the correlation length of |sigma| = 1/tau and t is counted from the moment of singularity. Using n(x,t) = n(y)|party/partx| and |sigma| = |(partv/party)(party/partx)| sime tau-1|party/partx| we find the contribution of the preshocks (t < 0) into the collision rate: left fence|sigma|n2right fence sime Ptau-1integral dxintegral-tau0 dt(party/partx)3left fencen2(y)right fence/ltau sime Ptau-1(l/a)1/3left fenceñ2[a(l/a)2/3]right fence. Formula left fence|sigma|n2right fence assumes smoothness over the scale a, so we introduced ñ[deltay] coarse-grained over deltay, taking deltay sime a(l/a)2/3, which corresponds to deltax sime a.

After the shock (t > 0), folds appear in the map y(x) in the region |x| < 2l(t/tau)3/2/3: for every x value there are three y values which correspond to the three groups of droplets that came from different places and have different velocities. Nearby droplets from the same group have Deltav sime sigmaa and contribute left fence|sigma|n2right fence sime Ptau-1(l/a)1/2left fenceñ2[(la)1/2]right fence. However, this contribution and that of preshocks are both less than that given by collisions of droplets from different groups. Groups coming from afar appear because droplets are shot out of curved streamlines with too high a centrifugal acceleration, an effect known to anyone who has used a sling to throw stones. That is why we call this the 'sling effect'. Droplets separated at the beginning of the free motion by a distance sime l have Deltav sime l/tau and provide for the inertial collision kernel:

Unfortunately we are unable to provide accessible alternative text for this. If you require assistance to access this image, or to obtain a text description, please contact npg@nature.com

Subscripts denote different droplet sizes, tau(a1) = tau1, P1 = P(|sigma| > 1/tau1). Because the velocities and the concentrations of the different groups are uncorrelated, left fenceKi(a1,a2)n1n2right fence = Ki(a1,a2)left fencen1right fenceleft fencen2right fence. The collision efficiency E' in equation (2) can be expressed via E taken for the effective sizes, giving the same Deltav. We thus obtain E' approximately 0.93–0.98 in the interval 15–100 microm for collinear velocities (noncollinearity further increases E'; ref. 3), so with our accuracy, E' approximately 1. We note that Ki(a, a) is larger than the contribution due to droplets from the same group by the factor radic(l/a)left fenceñ2[l]right fence/left fenceñ2[(la)1/2]right fence. It is shown below that left fenceñ2[r]right fenceproportional tor-alpha with alpha < 1 so that Ki indeed dominates. The ratio Ki/lambdaa3 sime PSt-1(l/a) has the smallness of P compensated by two large factors and can exceed unity even at small St. Most importantly, Ki(a,a)not equal0.

We now describe concentration fluctuations and derive k12. Because of inertia, the divergence of v is nonvanishing6, albeit small: trsigma = -integral exp[(t' - t)/tau]trsigma2(t') dt'less double|sigma| at tau|sigma|less double1. Negative trsigma2 corresponds to elliptic flows (vortices) which act as centrifuges decreasing n. Droplets concentrate in hyperbolic regions (between the vortices) where trsigma2 > 0 > trsigma. Clusters of droplets are created with sizes not exceeding eta, as follows from theory13, 14 and as seen in numerics24 and observations25. We note in passing that as clusters do not exceed eta the fluctuations of droplet concentration do not produce significant fluctuations in vapour concentration (because the vapour diffusivity is comparable to the air viscosity) so that droplet distribution over sizes cannot be significantly broadened during the condensation stage; see also ref. 26. Clustering can be readily understood: a compressible flow with lagrangian chaos creates a fractal concentration, the so-called Sinai–Ruelle–Bowen measure16. The moments of the fractal measure behave as powers of the scale ratio: left fenceñ[r]betaright fence sime left fencenright fencebeta(eta/r)italic gamma(beta), where italic gamma(beta) is convex and italic gamma(0) = italic gamma(1) = 0. As italic gamma'(0) is negative13 (it is proportional to the sum of the backward-in-time Lyapunov exponents of the v-flow), then alpha equivalent to italic gamma(2) > 0. Droplets of different sizes have additional relative velocity |tau1 - tau2|(g + lambda2eta) that stops clustering at r sime |tau1 - tau2|(g + lambda2eta)/lambdad. We thus find:

Unfortunately we are unable to provide accessible alternative text for this. If you require assistance to access this image, or to obtain a text description, please contact npg@nature.com

We distinguish a1 from a2 only in |tau1 - tau2| giving the sharpest dependence. The exponent alpha is described by equation (6), derived in the Methods section below. For sufficiently small droplets (St < 1 and epsilon > 1) and not very high Re, we have alpha sime St2F3, where F3 approximately lambda-3integral|s|3P(s) ds is a growing function of Re that describes how turbulence intermittency amplifies the effect of small droplet inertia. At low Re and St < 1, alpha does not depend on epsilon, so the only dependence k11(epsilon) can come from shock contribution and has to be weak (logarithmic), which agrees with numerics12. At large Re, both alpha and k12 have a maximum at St sime epsilon2.

We now write the effective collision kernel for small heavy particles in turbulence:

Unfortunately we are unable to provide accessible alternative text for this. If you require assistance to access this image, or to obtain a text description, please contact npg@nature.com

To compare with numerics done for low Re without gravity9, 10 we use equations (2), (3), (4) and (6) with P sime exp(- St-2) and l sime etaSt1/2. Analytics and numerics agree well, showing fast growth of ital Kmacr with St at St < 1 and a (broad) maximum at a1 = a2 (refs 9, 10). As St approaches unity, k12double greater than1 and Kidouble greater thanlambda(a1 + a2)3, which explains the observation9 that contributions of both preferential concentration and relative velocity are important. Gravity suppresses Ki increasing sb at epsilon2 < St. It also makes k12 a sharp function of |a1 - a2| so that the gravitational collision rate is only weakly enhanced by preferential concentration, because k12 > 1 where Kg approximately 0. At small St, we can also neglect the turbulence-induced increase of the vertical flux12.

For practical applications to high-Re flows, alpha and Ki have to be evaluated with P(s) determined experimentally. To make an estimate from below, we numerically evaluate equations (2), (3), (4) and (6) for moderate turbulence with Re sime 106, taking P(s) from ref. 27. Figure 1 shows the effective collision kernel ital Kmacr normalized by 8lambdaa3. The normalized kernel has a maximum at St sime epsilon2 which corresponds to the balance between inertia and gravity when the Stokes time tau is the universal value (nu/g2)1/3. Droplets of such size take time tau to fall through the vortex with a turnover time tau. The effect of centrifugal force is less both for smaller droplets (which are less inertial) and for larger ones (which spend less time inside the vortex). This is to be contrasted with the maximum at St sime 1 in low-Reynolds numerics without gravity9, 10. How inertia and gravity influence droplet settling is discussed in refs 12, 21, 28; see also refs 29, 30 on the role of turbulence.


We see that the interplay between gravity and turbulence intermittency makes inertial enhancement of the turbulence-induced collision rate significant only in the restricted interval of droplet sizes that depends on the air density (between 20 and 60 micro for rho = 10-3 g cm-3). The condensation–coagulation bottleneck is expected precisely in this interval, so turbulence must be able to alleviate it. To illustrate the effect, we solve space-averaged equation (1) numerically with the mean-field collection kernels Kg + left fenceKtright fence (dashed line in Fig. 2) and with ital Kmacr (solid line in Fig. 2) for lambda = 20 s-1, eta = 6 mm and q = 5 times 10-9 cm2 s-1. We took 50 droplets per cm3 with initial sizes in the interval 2–3 microm. Even for such relatively low level of turbulence and small size of droplets, the difference in coalescence-produced secondary peaks is apparent after only 10 min. The main peak is at a = 25 microm. The number density of coalescence-produced droplets is 1.06 cm-3 with the newly found ital Kmacr versus 0.64 cm-3 with the old mean-field values.

Figure 2: Distribution over sizes after 10 min.
Figure 2 : Distribution over sizes after 10|[thinsp]|min. Unfortunately we are unable to provide accessible alternative text for this. If you require assistance to access this image, or to obtain a text description, please contact npg@nature.com

The dashed line is the solution of equation (1) with the mean-field collision kernel and the solid line is the solution of equation (1) with equation (4).

High resolution image and legend (24K)

We thus conclude that turbulence-induced inertial effects can substantially accelerate the transition from condensation to coalescence stage in the interval of few tens of micrometres. Our results are valid for a low concentration of small droplets and not very energetic turbulence, conditions compatible with the data for most clouds1, 2, 4, 5, so we believe that equations (2), (3), (4) and (6) provide for an effective tool in rain prediction.

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Methods

To determine alpha from equation (3) we consider13 the prehistory of a cluster with the smallest size r. It is formed by a gradual deformation of an eta-size region with an initially uniform concentration. The shock contribution to the moment, left fenceñ2[r]right fenceproportional tointegral dx(party/partx)2proportional toln(l/r)1/2, contains a logarithm that is of order unity in our case. Therefore, we neglect shocks and consider fluctuations with |sigma| < tau-1. The smallest size of the region evolves as eta exp[lambdadt], where lambdad is the most negative Lyapunov exponent estimated as |lambdad| sime integral dtleft fencetrsigmaT(0)sigma(t)right fence sime lambdaepsilon~ = lambdaepsilon(1 + epsilon2)-1/2. Therefore, concentration fluctuations accumulate during the time ln(eta/r)/|lambdad|. Because ndot = -ntrsigma in the droplets' frame and the contribution of each cluster to the spatial average is proportional to its volume exp[integral0ttrsigma(t') dt'], we obtain:

Unfortunately we are unable to provide accessible alternative text for this. If you require assistance to access this image, or to obtain a text description, please contact npg@nature.com

where we assumed that ln(eta/r)/|lambdad| is much larger than the correlation time of trsigma2. The higher terms of the cumulant expansion cannot be parametrically larger than the estimate (5) since they contain integrals estimated as left fenceleft fencetautrsigma2[tautauc(sigma)trsigma2]2m+1right fenceright fence, for m greater than or equal to 1, and both the correlation time tauc(sigma) and tau are less than |sigma|-1 in the integration domain. Moreover, if left fencetau2tauc(sigma)(trsigma2)2right fence is determined by |sigma|less doubletau-1 then equation (5) is correct not only parametrically but also numerically. To evaluate alpha we express it via the single-time PDF P(|sigma|):

Unfortunately we are unable to provide accessible alternative text for this. If you require assistance to access this image, or to obtain a text description, please contact npg@nature.com

To relate P(sigma) to P(s) measured experimentally we note that tauc(s) > tau for s < s* = tau-1 min{1,epsilon2/St} so that P(|sigma|) = P(|s| = |sigma|) there. At s > s* the fluctuations of s contributing to P(sigma) have tauc(s) < tau and can occur at any moment within tau. The extrapolation formulas at St < epsilon are P(|sigma|) = (1 + sigma2/s*2)P(|s| = |sigma| + sigma2/s*) and tauc(|sigma|) = tau + (|sigma| + lambda1/2|sigma|1/2epsilon-1)-1. Our theory is valid as long as St min{1,epsilon} < 1.

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Acknowledgements

We thank A. Khain, V. Lebedev and M. Pinsky for discussions, and the Minerva and Israel Science Foundations for support.

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Competing interests statement

The authors declare no competing financial interests.

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